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Itâs tempting to see patterns in the random kaleidoscope of everyday experiences, but it's also dangerous. Steven Pinker talks to Charlie Munger and Tim Harford about randomness, identifying the signal in the noise, and the importance of seizing opportunities. Don't miss these notes from an insightful conversation
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Wealth
1/ 3 Cs Statistical Noise: Calm, Context, Curiosity - Charlie Munger
- Notice your own emotions and incentives; they exert a strong influence on the decisions you make
- Understand the context of numbers and make good comparisons (Fund return vs stock market average)
- Treat each new piece of information as an opportunity to ask questions and find out about the world, rather than a tool to defend your views
2/ Don't Miss: The truth of it is all of us are very seldom going to get a really good opportunity that we can seizeâ. âIt really matters when the few do come along you reach out and grab them vigorouslyâ â Charlie Munger
3/ What Did the Efficient Market Economist Do When He Saw $50 on the Ground? He refused to pick it up and denied its existence because âthe market would have picked it up already, so it canât be realâ - Charlie Munger
4/ The 5 Biggest Threats to Bitcoin: Custodial Risk, Rehypothecation, Supply Overhang, Fed Policy, Concerted State Attack - Vijay Boyapati
5/ The Original Key Value Driver of Social: Kim realized early in her career that social media can be used as a âfree focus groupâ leading to the exponential growth of her brand â Kim Kardashian
6/ Which Web is Which: Balaji Srinivasan
- Web 1 â Can we build it?
- Web 2 â Will they buy it?
- Web 3 â We can build it, we know theyâll buy it, but will they ban it? Web 3 is the reform of the ancient institutions â the fed, the banks, journalism, media, and governance.
7/ The Government Is Awful at Capital Allocation: âImagine enormous amounts of money being thrown into the woodchipper, thatâs what the government isâ. - Balaji Srinivasan
8/ Which Way Western Man? âProgressives want more government, conservatives want less government, libertarians want no government, and technologists want new a government.â - Balaji Srinivasan
Wisdom
9/ How To Learn Anything: Tim Ferriss
- Deconstruction â breaking down skills into smaller component skills
- Selection â 80/20 analysis, find the 20% of material that provides you with 80% of performance
- Sequencing â deciding what order to practice things in
- Stakes â what are the consequences of not following through
10/ âWorrying is like praying for what you donât wantâ â Tim Ferriss
11/ Cancel, Cancel Culture: By canceling someone, you deprive them of the opportunity to understand and improve - Kim Kardashian
Health
12/ Tim Ferriss's Sleep Secrets: Tim Ferriss
- Consumes enough fish oil to achieve an EPA (Eicosapentaenoic acid) level of 1 gram
- Magnesium Threonate & Apigenin before sleep
- Taking higher levels of B6 in the morning
- Getting outside as soon as he wakes up (5-15minutes per day)
- Delays caffeine intake for 60-90 minutes after waking up
13/ Intro Vs. Extro - Verts: Introverts release more dopamine in social interactions so need less of them, while extroverts release less dopamine in social interactions and need more of them to feel filled up - Dr. Andrew Huberman
14/ Right vs. Left Brain Bonding: The right brain handles more autonomic forms of bonding (e.g., heart rate, pupil size) versus the left brain which is responsible for more conscious forms of bonding (e.g., reading to your child) - Dr. Andrew Huberman
15/ What is a "Meta-Analysis": Combine data from multiple studies that are attempting to look at the same question. This seems great on the surface but is highly dependent on the quality of the original studies: garbage in, garbage out â and vice versa - Dr. Peter Attia
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Podcast Notes Premium
The Tim Ferriss Show
Honestly, With Bari Weiss
Huberman Lab
The Drive with Peter Attia
Stephen Livera Podcast
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